Bitcoin Outlook: PlanB Predicts Bullish Surge Despite Market Volatility
As the cryptocurrency market continues to navigate shifting risk appetites and fluctuating sentiment, prominent analyst PlanB has offered a bold forecast for Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming months. In a recent update, PlanB reiterated his long-term bullish stance, projecting that Bitcoin could reach new highs in 2025 and beyond, despite the potential for a bear market in 2026.
Bitcoin’s Recent Performance
Bitcoin closed October 2025 at $109,000, marking the sixth consecutive month above the $100,000 threshold. This sustained performance has transformed the once-resisted $100,000 level into a new support zone, a development PlanB describes as “a really bullish sign.” The milestone underscores growing confidence in Bitcoin’s value proposition and its resilience amid broader market uncertainty.
PlanB’s Stock-to-Flow Model
Central to PlanB’s analysis is the stock-to-flow (S2F) model, which measures scarcity as a driver of asset value. According to this model, Bitcoin’s scarcity surpasses that of gold, suggesting its market capitalization should eventually exceed gold’s. PlanB argues that, based on the S2F model, Bitcoin could reach anywhere from $250,000 to $1 million in the coming years, representing at least a 2x increase from its current price.
“Without these really high, crazy prices, we don’t have a really deep bear market,” PlanB explained. “We’re going to see this sort of steady uptrend like we’re seeing right now.”
Market Sentiment and Bear Market Warning
While PlanB remains optimistic, he also cautions that a bear market could emerge in 2026. He notes that Bitcoin’s peak in late 2025 reached $126,000, and the next year may see a correction, with prices potentially falling to levels aligned with moving averages. PlanB’s primary indicator for concern is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which he watches closely. “I get worried if the RSI dips towards 55 or even lower,” he said, signaling a potential shift in market momentum.
Broader Market Context
The broader cryptocurrency market has seen a decline in risk appetite in recent weeks, as investors grapple with macroeconomic uncertainty and regulatory developments. However, Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its price above $100,000 has provided a measure of stability, attracting both institutional and retail interest. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and its growing adoption as a store of value continue to underpin its long-term outlook.
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Looking ahead, PlanB’s forecast suggests that Bitcoin’s upward trajectory could persist through 2025, with the potential for significant gains. However, investors should remain vigilant for signs of a bear market in 2026, particularly if technical indicators like the RSI signal weakening momentum. The stock-to-flow model remains a key reference point for long-term investors, but market sentiment and macroeconomic factors will also play crucial roles in shaping Bitcoin’s path.
As the cryptocurrency landscape evolves, PlanB’s insights offer a valuable perspective for those seeking to navigate the opportunities and risks of the digital asset market.